Counter-Strike: insane players vs Incognito - Map 2 Winner

1. 1

   Down 6pp over 24h

   Now 53¢; -2.5pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 55h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $2.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

4. 4

   Expiry in 55h

   Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between insane players and Incognito in the Thunderpick World Championship North American Group B, initially scheduled for April 27 at 5:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "insane players" if insane players win Map 2 against Incognito. This market will resolve to "Incognito" if Incognito win Map 2 against insane players. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.