Map Handicap: IP (-1.5) vs Incognito (+1.5)

1. 1

   Down 3pp over 24h

   Now 48¢; -2.0pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 57h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Wide spread — 25.0¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

4. 4

   Expiry in 57h

   Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between insane players and Incognito in the Thunderpick World Championship North American Group B, initially scheduled for April 27 at 5:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "insane players" if insane players wins 2 or more maps than Incognito in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Incognito". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.