SportsExpires Apr 28, 2026

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Probability

38¢

1h

+7.0pp

24h

-12.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 08:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:03
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 13pp over 24h

    Now 38¢; +7.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 57h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 22.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 57h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 57 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 57.4h

    HIGH
  • 18:03Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 57h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-12.5pp over the last 24h, now 38¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between insane players and Incognito in the Thunderpick World Championship North American Group B, initially scheduled for April 27 at 5:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if insane players and Incognito play 3 or more maps in this series. If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensus
hltv.org
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (22.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.