Counter-Strike: insane players vs Incognito - Map 1 Winner

1. 1

   Up 8pp over 24h

   Now 57¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 53h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Wide spread — 9.0¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

4. 4

   Expiry in 53h

   Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between insane players and Incognito in the Thunderpick World Championship North American Group B, initially scheduled for April 27 at 5:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "insane players" if insane players win Map 1 against Incognito. This market will resolve to "Incognito" if Incognito win Map 1 against insane players. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.