OtherExpires Apr 7, 2026

Map Handicap: TA (-1.5) vs Outfit 49 (+1.5)

Probability

50¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.1pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$0.05

Probability (last 7 days)

-49.9pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 22:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:01
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 99.9¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  3. 3

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 20:01Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW

Price movement

-0.1pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.

Biggest hourly move: -49.9pp at 11:00 (to 50¢).

Show all 40 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 17:00 · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 15:00 · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 14:00 · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 12:00 · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 11:00 · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 09:00 · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 08:00 · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 06:00 · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 05:00 · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 03:00 · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 02:00 · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 00:00 · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 22:00 · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 21:00 · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 1d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 1d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 1d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 1d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 1d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 1d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 1d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 1d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 1d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 3d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
  • 3d ago · -49.9pp → 50¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Team Aether and Outfit 49 in the Dust2.us Eagle Masters Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 5 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Aether" if Team Aether wins 2 or more maps than Outfit 49 in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Outfit 49". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 7, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (99.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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