Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Probability
93¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+26.0pp
24h Vol
$119.71
Liquidity
$91.68
Probability (last 7 days)
+57.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 26pp over 24h
Now 93¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $92 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability drops back below 88¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 72.1h
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 55.0pp
to 93¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 52.5pp
to 93¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 47.5pp
to 88¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 43.5pp
to 84¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.5pp
to 76¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.5pp
to 80¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 38.5pp
to 79¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.0pp
to 79¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.0pp
to 80¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 40.0pp
to 81¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.0pp
to 80¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.0pp
to 80¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 41.0pp
to 82¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 43.0pp
to 83¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 41.5pp
to 82¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.5pp
to 68¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.0pp
to 73¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 65¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 66¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.0pp
to 69¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 64¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 65¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.5pp
to 73¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 70¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 66¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 71¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 70¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 68¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 68¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between April 21, 12:00 PM ET and April 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://x.com/cz_binanceAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).