Spread: Cambridge United FC (-2.5)
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.4pp
24h
+76.4pp
24h Vol
$90.87
Liquidity
$236.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+67.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Up 76pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +0.4pp in the last hour.
- 2
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved up 76.4pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
- 5
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 18:27SignalHIGH
Momentum up
Probability moved up 76.4pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 18:27SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 14:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 4h ago
Price movement
+76.5pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Biggest hourly move: +77.0pp at 18:27 (to 100¢).
Show all 51 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:27 · +77.0pp → 100¢
- 17:00 · +76.5pp → 100¢
- 16:00 · +76.5pp → 100¢
- 15:00 · +4.0pp → 27¢
- 1d ago · -5.5pp → 24¢
- 1d ago · -12.0pp → 24¢
- 1d ago · -13.5pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -8.0pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -8.5pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -9.0pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -8.5pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -13.0pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -8.5pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -8.5pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -8.5pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · -8.5pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -8.0pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -9.5pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · -18.5pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · -13.5pp → 23¢
- 3d ago · -13.5pp → 23¢
- 3d ago · -13.5pp → 23¢
- 3d ago · -13.5pp → 23¢
- 3d ago · -9.5pp → 23¢
- 3d ago · -9.5pp → 23¢
- 3d ago · -9.5pp → 23¢
- 3d ago · -9.5pp → 23¢
- 3d ago · -9.5pp → 23¢
- 3d ago · -14.0pp → 23¢
- 3d ago · -14.0pp → 23¢
- 3d ago · -17.5pp → 23¢
- 3d ago · -9.5pp → 23¢
- 3d ago · -9.5pp → 23¢
- 3d ago · -8.5pp → 24¢
- 3d ago · -8.5pp → 24¢
- 3d ago · -8.5pp → 24¢
- 3d ago · -8.5pp → 24¢
- 3d ago · -8.5pp → 24¢
- 3d ago · -8.5pp → 24¢
- 4d ago · -8.5pp → 24¢
- 4d ago · -8.5pp → 24¢
- 4d ago · -8.5pp → 24¢
- 4d ago · -8.5pp → 24¢
- 4d ago · -8.5pp → 24¢
- 4d ago · -8.5pp → 24¢
- 4d ago · -3.0pp → 30¢
- 4d ago · +5.0pp → 38¢
- 4d ago · -9.0pp → 37¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming League Two game, scheduled for April 25 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Cambridge United FC" if Cambridge United FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Barrow AFC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on efl.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- official statisticsOfficial statisticsefl.com
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.