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OtherExpires Apr 25, 2026

Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)

Probability

37¢

1h

-3.0pp

24h

-4.0pp

24h Vol

$4.6K

Liquidity

$228.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

-2.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:18
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 4pp over 24h

    Now 37¢; -3.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 4.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  3. 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 1h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 1 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 14:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 0.7h

    HIGH
  • 13:18Signal

    Signal · Momentum down

    Probability moved down 4.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    MEDIUM
  • 13:18Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for April 25 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Liverpool FC" if Liverpool FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Crystal Palace FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.premierleague.com/News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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