Spread: CD Leganés (-2.5)
Probability
5¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-23.5pp
24h Vol
$55.63
Liquidity
$326.71
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 24pp over 24h
Now 5¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 10¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 145.5h
- 14:56PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 5¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.5pp
to 5¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.5pp
to 5¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.0pp
to 5¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 5¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.5pp
to 5¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 5¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.0pp
to 5¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 5¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.5pp
to 5¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 5¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.5pp
to 5¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.5pp
to 5¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 34¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.5pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 29¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 40¢+6.5pp
Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-1.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 31¢-3.0pp
Spread: CD Leganés (-1.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 31¢+3.0pp
Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-2.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 61¢-3.5pp
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 48¢-5.5pp
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 41¢0.0pp
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 33¢0.0pp
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: O/U 4.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢-3.5pp
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: Both Teams to Score
Other · Vol $0.00
- 54¢-6.0pp
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Market Description
In the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for May 1 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Leganés" if CD Leganés win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "RC Deportivo La Coruña". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on laliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotionNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).