Matsumoto Yamaga FC vs. AC Nagano Parceiro: O/U 2.5
Probability
57¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$77.09
Liquidity
$924.98
Probability (last 7 days)
-14.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 57¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 13h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 22.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 13h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 13 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 05:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 13.3h
- 15:41SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 13h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 56¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 57¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 53¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 53¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 56¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 56¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 56¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 56¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 56¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 56¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 60¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 51¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 52¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 51¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 52¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.0pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 51¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
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Market Description
In the upcoming J2 100 Year Vision League game between Matsumoto Yamaga FC and AC Nagano Parceiro, scheduled for April 26 at 1:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Matsumoto Yamaga FC and AC Nagano Parceiro combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on jleague.jp. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.jleague.jp/en/News consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (22.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).