Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)

1. 1

   Down 1pp over 24h

   Now 56¢; flat in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 37h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $2.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

4. 4

   Expiry in 37h

   Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

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This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 26 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON wins 2 or more games than Disguised in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Disguised". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.