Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?
Probability
75¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+16.0pp
24h Vol
$213.24
Liquidity
$116.62
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Up 16pp over 24h
Now 75¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Wide spread — 50.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
- 5
UMA status: disputed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: disputed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 15:43SignalHIGH
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 75¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 75¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 75¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 75¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 75¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 75¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 75¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 75¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 75¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 75¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 75¢
- 23:40ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 16h ago
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 75¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.5pp
to 75¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 48.5pp
to 100¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.5pp
to 75¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 58¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 58¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 58¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 57¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 0¢-3.0pp
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-50.4pp
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
Other · Vol $11.16
- 0¢-20.9pp
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+38.0pp
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-30.4pp
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
Other · Vol $15.00
- 0¢-32.5pp
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-3.0pp
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+50.0pp
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 84¢+25.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.7M
- 2¢-0.4pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 32¢-26.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.3M
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 0¢-35.4pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $1.1M
Market Description
In the upcoming match between Natus Vincere and Karmine Corp in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 24 at 12:30PM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 26 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 24, 2026
- UMA status
- disputed
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: disputed
- Market expires Apr 24, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (50.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).