Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?
Probability
71¢
1h
-3.5pp
24h
+20.5pp
24h Vol
$4.1K
Liquidity
$2.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 21pp over 24h
Now 71¢; -3.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 12h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 23.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 12h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 12 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 01:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 11.5h
- 13:27SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 12h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:27PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 71¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.0pp
to 76¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 78¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.0pp
to 77¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 59¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 59¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming match between paiN Gaming and Fluxo W7M in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 3:00PM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 2. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 2 is 27 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (23.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).