Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-12.4pp
24h Vol
$5.58
Liquidity
$343.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 12pp over 24h
Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Expiry in 1h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
- 4
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 1 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 08:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 1.0h
- 06:57SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-12.4pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Biggest hourly move: -38.5pp at 2d ago (to 13¢).
Show top 8 of 40 hourly moves
- 1d ago · -38.5pp → 13¢
- 2d ago · -38.5pp → 13¢
- 2d ago · -38.5pp → 13¢
- 2d ago · -38.5pp → 13¢
- 2d ago · -38.5pp → 13¢
- 2d ago · -38.5pp → 13¢
- 2d ago · -38.5pp → 13¢
- 2d ago · -38.5pp → 13¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 100¢+29.4pp
LoL: T1 Academy vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winner
Sports · Vol $66.6K
- 100¢+61.5pp
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $2.9K
- 0¢-45.0pp
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs BNK FearX Youth (+1.5)
Other · Vol $9.2K
- 0¢-75.9pp
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
Other · Vol $7.93
- 0¢-10.9pp
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
Other · Vol $5.58
- 10¢-3.0pp
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
Other · Vol $5.00
- 10¢+7.1pp
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-50.0pp
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
Other · Vol $11.16
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.5M
- 2¢-0.7pp
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $1.3M
- 100¢+54.4pp
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)
Sports · Vol $659.3K
- 14¢+1.8pp
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $645.4K
- 73¢-5.0pp
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Sports · Vol $633.3K
- 4¢-0.1pp
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $611.5K
Market Description
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both T1 Academy and BNK FearX Youth each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.