Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
Probability
41¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.4pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.53
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 2
Wide spread — 82.5¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 3
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 15:13SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.1pp
to 29¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.6pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.8pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -42.1pp
to 0¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Weibo Gaming and Anyone's Legend each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 13, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (82.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).