Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
Probability
50¢
1h
-49.4pp
24h
-25.9pp
24h Vol
$11.04
Liquidity
$0.11
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 26pp over 24h
Now 50¢; -49.4pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 99.7¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 0h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 0 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 15:15ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 0.4h
- 14:50SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 49.0pp
to 99¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 49.0pp
to 99¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 49.0pp
to 99¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 80¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 72¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 72¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 71¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 71¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 69¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 76¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.0pp
to 77¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 76¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 76¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.0pp
to 76¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.0pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 77¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.0pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.0pp
to 77¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.0pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.5pp
to 73¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.5pp
to 73¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Team WE and JD Gaming each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 1. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (99.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).