Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-12.0pp
24h Vol
$136.72
Liquidity
$8.63
Probability (last 7 days)
-51.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 12pp over 24h
Now 1¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $9 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 2h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 15:15ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 2.2h
- 13:05SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -50.0pp
to 1¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -50.0pp
to 1¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.0pp
to 13¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.0pp
to 13¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.0pp
to 13¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.0pp
to 13¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.0pp
to 13¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.0pp
to 13¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.0pp
to 13¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.0pp
to 13¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.0pp
to 13¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 13¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.0pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.0pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.0pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.0pp
to 16¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).