Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Probability
4¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.7pp
24h Vol
$67.72
Liquidity
$21.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.7pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6017.2h
- 11:48SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6017h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
12- 31¢+2.3pp
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $2.1K
- 18¢0.0pp
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $203.19
- 6¢0.0pp
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $1.1K
- 8¢0.0pp
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $513.04
- 48¢+3.0pp
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $1.3K
- 35¢0.0pp
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $31.64
- 2¢-2.3pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $706.2K
- 36¢-4.0pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $578.7K
- 87¢+1.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $554.0K
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $540.4K
- 100¢+12.4pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Other · Vol $411.8K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- Linear-Clutch4.5K
- Daring-Disruption2.6K
- Plaintive-Study1.8K
- Impure-Anniversary1.5K
- Rough-Porpoise1.4K