Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Probability
0¢
1h
-43.0pp
24h
-50.0pp
24h Vol
$2.0K
Liquidity
$279.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 50pp over 24h
Now 0¢; -43.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 50.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 167h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 4
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 166.9h
- 20:10SignalHIGH
Momentum down
Probability moved down 50.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 20:10SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 167h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-51.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Biggest hourly move: -48.9pp at 20:00 (to 0¢).
Show all 22 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · -48.9pp → 0¢
- 19:00 · -10.5pp → 43¢
- 17:00 · -9.5pp → 44¢
- 15:00 · -7.5pp → 46¢
- 14:00 · -7.5pp → 46¢
- 22:00 · +5.5pp → 54¢
- 21:00 · +3.0pp → 51¢
- 1d ago · +3.0pp → 51¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 54¢
- 1d ago · +3.5pp → 52¢
- 1d ago · +3.5pp → 52¢
- 1d ago · +3.5pp → 52¢
- 1d ago · +8.5pp → 56¢
- 2d ago · +8.5pp → 56¢
- 2d ago · +3.0pp → 51¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 53¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 53¢
- 2d ago · +8.5pp → 56¢
- 2d ago · +8.5pp → 56¢
- 2d ago · +8.5pp → 56¢
- 2d ago · +6.5pp → 55¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 54¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for April 25 at 3:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Cleveland Guardians or Toronto Blue Jays. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.