Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
Probability
60¢
1h
+6.5pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$1.74
Liquidity
$373.69
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 19h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 56.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 3
Expiry in 19h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 19 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 13:15ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 19.2h
- 18:01SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 19h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+4.5pp over the last 24h, now 60¢.
Biggest hourly move: +19.0pp at 3d ago (to 69¢).
Show all 38 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:01 · -8.5pp → 60¢
- 17:00 · -8.5pp → 61¢
- 16:00 · -15.0pp → 54¢
- 15:00 · -8.5pp → 61¢
- 13:00 · -8.0pp → 61¢
- 12:00 · -9.0pp → 61¢
- 10:00 · -3.5pp → 61¢
- 09:00 · -8.5pp → 61¢
- 07:00 · -10.0pp → 60¢
- 05:00 · -8.0pp → 61¢
- 03:00 · -17.5pp → 53¢
- 02:00 · -7.0pp → 60¢
- 00:00 · -13.5pp → 55¢
- 22:00 · -9.0pp → 60¢
- 20:00 · -14.5pp → 55¢
- 1d ago · -4.5pp → 60¢
- 1d ago · -7.5pp → 61¢
- 1d ago · -11.0pp → 57¢
- 1d ago · -4.0pp → 65¢
- 1d ago · -3.0pp → 66¢
- 1d ago · -8.0pp → 61¢
- 1d ago · -8.0pp → 61¢
- 1d ago · -5.5pp → 63¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 71¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 72¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 69¢
- 2d ago · +15.5pp → 66¢
- 2d ago · +15.5pp → 66¢
- 2d ago · +15.5pp → 66¢
- 2d ago · +15.5pp → 66¢
- 2d ago · +17.5pp → 68¢
- 2d ago · +18.5pp → 69¢
- 2d ago · +18.5pp → 69¢
- 2d ago · +13.5pp → 64¢
- 2d ago · +17.5pp → 68¢
- 2d ago · +18.5pp → 69¢
- 3d ago · +17.5pp → 69¢
- 3d ago · +19.0pp → 69¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang match between Alter Ego and Natus Vincere in the MPL Indonesia Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 26 at 3:15AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alter Ego" if Alter Ego win Game 1 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 1 against Alter Ego. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusliquipedia.net
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (56.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.