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OtherExpires Apr 26, 2026

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

Probability

61¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-4.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$366.59

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 13:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:52
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 5pp over 24h

    Now 61¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 24h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 57.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 24h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 24.4h

    HIGH
  • 12:52Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 24h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -11.0pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 07:00Price

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -17.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -13.5pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -15.0pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -14.5pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -11.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 71¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 17.0pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 17.5pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang match between Alter Ego and Natus Vincere in the MPL Indonesia Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 26 at 3:15AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alter Ego" if Alter Ego win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Alter Ego. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_PageNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (57.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.