Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)
Probability
8¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
-7.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 8¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $3.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 4h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 4 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 23:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 4.2h
- 19:20SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 8¢.
Biggest hourly move: -23.5pp at 2d ago (to 10¢).
Show all 38 hour-by-hour ticks
- 19:00 · -3.5pp → 8¢
- 17:00 · -3.5pp → 8¢
- 15:00 · -3.5pp → 8¢
- 14:00 · -3.5pp → 8¢
- 12:00 · -3.5pp → 8¢
- 11:00 · -5.5pp → 8¢
- 09:00 · -7.0pp → 8¢
- 08:00 · -5.5pp → 8¢
- 06:00 · -5.5pp → 9¢
- 05:00 · -5.5pp → 9¢
- 03:00 · -5.5pp → 9¢
- 02:00 · -7.0pp → 8¢
- 00:00 · -6.0pp → 9¢
- 22:00 · -3.0pp → 9¢
- 21:00 · -3.0pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -3.5pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -4.5pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -5.0pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -6.5pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -5.5pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -6.5pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -6.0pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -10.0pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -11.0pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -11.0pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -6.0pp → 10¢
- 2d ago · -6.0pp → 10¢
- 2d ago · -23.5pp → 10¢
- 2d ago · -5.5pp → 10¢
- 2d ago · -8.5pp → 10¢
- 2d ago · -5.5pp → 10¢
- 2d ago · -5.5pp → 10¢
- 2d ago · -6.0pp → 10¢
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 11¢
- 3d ago · -6.0pp → 12¢
- 3d ago · -6.0pp → 12¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 28¢-0.5pp
Spread: D.C. United SC (-1.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 12¢+1.0pp
Spread: D.C. United SC (-2.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 4¢+0.5pp
Spread: Orlando City SC (-2.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 76¢-1.5pp
D.C. United SC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5
Other · Vol $97.00
- 52¢-1.0pp
D.C. United SC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $215.58
- 30¢-1.0pp
D.C. United SC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5
Other · Vol $1.8K
- 14¢-1.0pp
D.C. United SC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5
Other · Vol $1.3K
- 55¢0.0pp
D.C. United SC vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to Score
Other · Vol $99.95
- 100¢+22.4pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 48¢-1.0pp
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 20¢-37.5pp
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Other · Vol $725.0K
- 100¢0.0pp
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
Other · Vol $552.5K
- 48¢+3.5pp
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers
Other · Vol $491.2K
- 0¢-1.3pp
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Other · Vol $476.7K
Market Description
In the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for April 25 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Orlando City SC" if Orlando City SC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "D.C. United SC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- official statisticsOfficial statisticsmlssoccer.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.