Exact Score: CF Montréal 3 - 1 New York City FC?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-3.4pp
24h Vol
$6.03
Liquidity
$2.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 1¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $2.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
- 5
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 22:04SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 18:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 4h ago
Price movement
-3.5pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.
Biggest hourly move: +45.9pp at 19:00 (to 50¢).
Show top 8 of 10 hourly moves
- 19:00 · +45.9pp → 50¢
- 2d ago · -21.4pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -21.4pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -21.4pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -21.4pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -20.9pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -20.9pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -21.1pp → 3¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 0¢-11.6pp
Exact Score: CF Montréal 1 - 1 New York City FC?
Other · Vol $631.23
- 100¢+93.0pp
Exact Score: CF Montréal 1 - 0 New York City FC?
Other · Vol $41.38
- 0¢-7.4pp
Exact Score: CF Montréal 0 - 1 New York City FC?
Other · Vol $11.15
- 10¢+2.0pp
Exact Score: CF Montréal 2 - 1 New York City FC?
Other · Vol $5.58
- 1¢-7.5pp
Exact Score: CF Montréal 1 - 2 New York City FC?
Other · Vol $5.57
- 0¢-5.1pp
Exact Score: CF Montréal 0 - 0 New York City FC?
Other · Vol $11.15
- 1¢-5.5pp
Exact Score: CF Montréal 2 - 2 New York City FC?
Other · Vol $5.58
- 0¢-5.6pp
Exact Score: CF Montréal 0 - 2 New York City FC?
Other · Vol $11.15
- 1¢-0.1pp
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $358.6K
- 100¢+54.4pp
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $321.0K
- 4¢0.0pp
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Other · Vol $288.8K
- 0¢-1.1pp
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $281.8K
- 85¢-3.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $229.9K
- 1¢-8.6pp
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $227.0K
Market Description
In the upcoming MLS game between CF Montréal and New York City FC, scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CF Montréal vs. New York City FC match originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Primaryofficial statisticsTypeOfficial statisticsConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- UMA status: proposed
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.