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ScienceExpires Dec 31, 2027

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Probability

37¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-8.0pp

24h Vol

$253.10

Liquidity

$5.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 04:00Apr 25, 2026, 03:02
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 14757.0h

    LOW
  • 03:02Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 14757h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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