Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Europa League winner?
Probability
24¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 628h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 14.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 628.3h
- 19:41SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 628h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 24¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the home nation of the 2026 UEFA Europa League winner. If at any point it becomes impossible for any club from the listed country to win the UEFA Europa League (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after June 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 22, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (14.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.