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OtherExpires Jul 12, 2026

Will BNK FEARX qualify to MSI 2026?

Probability

11¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-10.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$694.10

Probability (last 7 days)

+2.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:54
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 11pp over 24h

    Now 11¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1857h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 17.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1857.1h

    LOW
  • 14:54Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1857h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -11.0pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -11.0pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -11.0pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

The MSI 2026 (Mid-Season Invitational) is scheduled to take place from June 26 to July 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to which teams qualify for MSI 2026. If the listed team officially qualifies as one of the teams invited to MSI 2026, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Ties in standings will be broken according to the official LoL Esports rules. If MSI 2026 is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or if the official list of MSI 2026 participants is not published before August 1, 2026, ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jul 12, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (17.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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