Will Lyon qualify to MSI 2026?
Probability
46¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$44.03
Probability (last 7 days)
-6.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1860.7h
- 11:18SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1861h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 47¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 47¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 47¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 45¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 47¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 47¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 45¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 46¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 47¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 48¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 47¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 41¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 42¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 40¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The MSI 2026 (Mid-Season Invitational) is scheduled to take place from June 26 to July 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to which teams qualify for MSI 2026. If the listed team officially qualifies as one of the teams invited to MSI 2026, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Ties in standings will be broken according to the official LoL Esports rules. If MSI 2026 is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or if the official list of MSI 2026 participants is not published before August 1, 2026, ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jul 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (84.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).