Will Diego Pavia be drafted in the 6th round of the 2026 pro football draft?
Probability
0¢
1h
-10.0pp
24h
-47.9pp
24h Vol
$5.00
Liquidity
$197.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
-48.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Down 48pp over 24h
Now 0¢; -10.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 47.9pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
- 5
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 00:09SignalHIGH
Momentum down
Probability moved down 47.9pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 00:09SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 0h ago
Price movement
-47.9pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Biggest hourly move: -48.9pp at 00:00 (to 0¢).
Show 3 hourly moves
- 00:00 · -48.9pp → 0¢
- 22:00 · -38.5pp → 10¢
- 3d ago · +4.5pp → 49¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the round in which Diego Pavia is selected in the 2026 NFL draft. If Diego Pavia is not selected in the 2026 NFL Draft, this market will resolve to "Not Drafted". If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or Diego Pavia is not drafted by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Not Drafted". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- UMA status: proposed
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.