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OtherExpires Apr 29, 2026

Will Disguised qualify for EWC 2026?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-22.2pp

24h Vol

$21.00

Liquidity

$378.16

Probability (last 7 days)

-5.3pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:20
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 22pp over 24h

    Now 1¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 83h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $378 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 82.7h

    LOW
  • 13:20Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 83h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 13:20Price

    Probability down -45.8pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -45.4pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -45.8pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -45.4pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -46.4pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -45.9pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -46.4pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -45.9pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -46.9pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -45.9pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -48.9pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -49.5pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -48.5pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -42.6pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -40.2pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -35.4pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -24.6pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -23.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -21.6pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -23.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 33.5pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 20.0pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.5pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.5pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 18.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 42.0pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 42.5pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 42.5pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

The Esports World Cup 2026 North America Qualifier is scheduled to take place from April 14 to April 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to which teams qualify for the EWC 2026 Main Event through the North America Qualifier. If the listed team officially qualifies as one of the teams advancing from the North America Qualifier to the EWC 2026 Main Event, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Ties in standings will be broken according to the official Esports World Cup Foundation rules. If the Esports World Cup 2026 is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or if the official list of EWC 2026 participants is not published by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the Esports World Cup (https://esportsworldcup.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Esports_World_Cup/2026/North_America) may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).