Will FSV Mainz 05 qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?
Probability
12¢
1h
+7.2pp
24h
-36.8pp
24h Vol
$110.16
Liquidity
$39.30
Probability (last 7 days)
-37.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3070.7h
- 01:18SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3071h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 01:18PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.3pp
to 12¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.0pp
to 8¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 26¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 41¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Conference League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Conference League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Conference League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the teams that qualified for the 2026-27 Conference League have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Aug 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (23.1¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).