Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$288.92
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 67.2h
- 04:45SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 67h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 04:45PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 0¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 0¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 0¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 0¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 0¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 0¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 0¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 0¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.8pp
to 0¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.8pp
to 0¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.8pp
to 0¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.8pp
to 0¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.8pp
to 0¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.3pp
to 0¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.3pp
to 0¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -40.8pp
to 0¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).