Will Gwendolyn Beck be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?
Probability
9¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.3pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5986h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 9.9¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5986.0h
- 14:00SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5986h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.2pp
to 8¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 8¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 9¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.7pp
to 9¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 8¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 11¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 9¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 9¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 9¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 8¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.8pp
to 8¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 9¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 9¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 8¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.7pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.6pp
to 8¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 8¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 8¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.9pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.9pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 10¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 0¢0.0pp
Will Ted Cruz be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 2¢-1.8pp
Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Rand Paul be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Placeholder G be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Placeholder I be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Placeholder N be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-0.1pp
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 86¢-1.0pp
Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?
Other · Vol $2.40
- 61¢+1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.0M
- 1¢-2.0pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 0¢-35.4pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $1.0M
- 0¢-39.5pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $864.1K
- 60¢+2.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $833.8K
Market Description
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156 This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026". The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address. Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (9.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).