Will INTZ win CD 2026 Split 1?
Probability
13¢
1h
+1.5pp
24h
+9.0pp
24h Vol
$25.00
Liquidity
$354.16
Probability (last 7 days)
-7.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 9pp over 24h
Now 13¢; +1.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1019h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 20.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1019.2h
- 12:48SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1019h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 13¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 15¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 15¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 14¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 15¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 14¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 15¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 14¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 16¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 15¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 15¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 16¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 16¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 16¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 19¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 4¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 5¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 4¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 4¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 4¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 4¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Circuito Desafiante (CD) 2026 Split 1. If the 2026 Split 1 is postponed after June 14, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 7, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (20.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).