Will Jeff Hurd be the Republican nominee for CO-03?
Probability
98¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.1pp
24h Vol
$27.02
Liquidity
$6.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 98¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1567h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $6.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1566.8h
- 17:14SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1567h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 98¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.2pp
to 98¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 98¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 98¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.9pp
to 98¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 97¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 97¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 97¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 97¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 97¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 97¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 97¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.6pp
to 97¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate D be the Republican nominee for CO-03?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate A be the Republican nominee for CO-03?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate C be the Republican nominee for CO-03?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate F be the Republican nominee for CO-03?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate H be the Republican nominee for CO-03?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate J be the Republican nominee for CO-03?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate L be the Republican nominee for CO-03?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate N be the Republican nominee for CO-03?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-0.2pp
Trump out as President by April 30?
Politics · Vol $632.7K
- 2¢+0.3pp
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $579.7K
- 5¢+0.1pp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $523.7K
- 0¢+0.1pp
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $382.6K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $341.3K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $331.5K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in thAmbiguous wordingextracted · lowrnc.org
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.