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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 1, 2026

Will Lille place 2nd for the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Probability

1h

-0.1pp

24h

-3.0pp

24h Vol

$6.66

Liquidity

$132.47

Probability (last 7 days)

-47.1pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:45
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 3pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 874h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $132 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 874.2h

    LOW
  • 13:45Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 874h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 13:45Price

    Probability down -8.9pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -19.3pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -3.7pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.1pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.6pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.1pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.2pp

    to 8¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.2pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -43.6pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -41.1pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -13.6pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -18.9pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -40.6pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 2nd in the final standings of the 2025-2026 Ligue 1 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by Ligue 1 as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 2nd in the 2025-2026 Ligue 1 season (e.g. they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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