Will Marco Silva be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?
Probability
20¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$861.86
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6008h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 39.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6008.2h
- 15:49SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6008h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.0pp
to 20¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.0pp
to 20¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.0pp
to 20¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.5pp
to 20¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.0pp
to 20¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.5pp
to 20¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.5pp
to 20¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Chelsea F.C.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (39.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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