Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
Probability
12¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.3pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-3.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5982h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 21.8¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5982.1h
- 17:54SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5982h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.3pp over the last 24h, now 12¢.
Biggest hourly move: -10.8pp at 1d ago (to 11¢).
Show all 48 hour-by-hour ticks
- 17:00 · -10.2pp → 12¢
- 15:00 · -9.8pp → 12¢
- 14:00 · -8.2pp → 14¢
- 12:00 · -8.3pp → 14¢
- 11:00 · -8.2pp → 14¢
- 09:00 · -9.8pp → 12¢
- 08:00 · -9.8pp → 12¢
- 06:00 · -9.4pp → 13¢
- 05:00 · -10.0pp → 12¢
- 03:00 · -10.0pp → 12¢
- 02:00 · -8.7pp → 14¢
- 00:00 · -8.9pp → 13¢
- 22:00 · -10.2pp → 12¢
- 21:00 · -10.1pp → 12¢
- 20:00 · -10.5pp → 12¢
- 18:00 · -10.5pp → 12¢
- 1d ago · -10.5pp → 12¢
- 1d ago · -10.5pp → 12¢
- 1d ago · -10.0pp → 12¢
- 1d ago · -10.1pp → 12¢
- 1d ago · -8.8pp → 13¢
- 1d ago · -8.8pp → 13¢
- 1d ago · -10.8pp → 11¢
- 1d ago · -10.8pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · -8.6pp → 13¢
- 2d ago · -9.0pp → 13¢
- 2d ago · -8.9pp → 13¢
- 2d ago · -9.6pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -9.8pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -9.7pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -9.1pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -8.9pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · +7.8pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · +8.2pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · +8.4pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · +9.4pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · +9.2pp → 22¢
- 3d ago · +4.2pp → 22¢
- 3d ago · +4.3pp → 22¢
- 3d ago · +8.9pp → 22¢
- 3d ago · +9.9pp → 22¢
- 3d ago · +10.2pp → 22¢
- 3d ago · +10.2pp → 22¢
- 3d ago · +6.8pp → 22¢
- 3d ago · +6.8pp → 22¢
- 3d ago · +6.8pp → 22¢
- 3d ago · +7.2pp → 22¢
- 3d ago · +7.2pp → 22¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the name of the person who is named People Magazine's Sexiest Man Alive. If more than one person is named Sexiest Man Alive by People Magazine, this market will resolve in favor of the person whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If no Sexiest Man Alive is announced for 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be People (https://people.com/) or a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · mediumpeople.com
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (21.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.