Will Mike Cox win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
Probability
15¢
1h
+0.8pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$18.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+11.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 2412.1h
- 11:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 2412h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:54PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 15¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 14¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 15¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 14¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.2pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.6pp
to 12¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 11¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 12¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 11¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.1pp
to 12¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 11¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 11¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 12¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 12¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 12¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 11¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 12¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 12¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.1pp
to 14¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 12¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.3pp
to 13¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.3pp
to 12¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 12¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Aug 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).