Will Plasma reach $0.50 by December 31, 2026?
Probability
42¢
1h
-3.0pp
24h
-3.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$140.57
Probability (last 7 days)
+9.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 42¢; -3.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 72.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowPrice movement
+4.0pp over the last 24h, now 46¢.
Biggest hourly move: +17.0pp at 2d ago (to 49¢).
Show all 29 hour-by-hour ticks
- 15:00 · -4.5pp → 42¢
- 14:00 · +11.0pp → 45¢
- 11:00 · +7.5pp → 42¢
- 09:00 · -5.0pp → 39¢
- 06:00 · -8.5pp → 38¢
- 05:00 · -4.5pp → 42¢
- 03:00 · -4.5pp → 41¢
- 00:00 · -5.5pp → 41¢
- 22:00 · -10.0pp → 36¢
- 21:00 · -4.5pp → 43¢
- 20:00 · -7.0pp → 40¢
- 19:00 · -5.0pp → 42¢
- 1d ago · -4.0pp → 44¢
- 1d ago · -4.5pp → 42¢
- 1d ago · -8.0pp → 37¢
- 1d ago · -11.5pp → 39¢
- 1d ago · -10.0pp → 42¢
- 1d ago · -8.5pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · +6.0pp → 45¢
- 2d ago · +9.0pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · +11.0pp → 43¢
- 2d ago · +9.0pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · +10.5pp → 42¢
- 2d ago · +12.0pp → 44¢
- 2d ago · +6.0pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · +11.5pp → 44¢
- 2d ago · +7.0pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · +17.0pp → 49¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XPL (XPL/USDT) between November 25, 2025, 17:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XPL/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XPL_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XPL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- —
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · highbinance.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (72.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.