CryptoExpires Jan 1, 2027

Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?

Probability

61¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.5pp

24h Vol

$120.05

Liquidity

$20.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

-0.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:39
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 61¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 6010h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $20.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 6010.3h

    LOW
  • 18:39Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 6010h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-1.5pp over the last 24h, now 61¢.

Biggest hourly move: -5.5pp at 15:00 (to 61¢).

Show all 29 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:39 · -5.5pp → 61¢
  • 17:00 · -5.5pp → 61¢
  • 16:00 · -5.5pp → 61¢
  • 15:00 · -5.5pp → 61¢
  • 03:00 · -4.0pp → 61¢
  • 02:00 · -4.0pp → 61¢
  • 1d ago · +4.0pp → 65¢
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 65¢
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 65¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 65¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 65¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 65¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 65¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 65¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 65¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 65¢
  • 2d ago · +4.5pp → 66¢
  • 2d ago · +4.0pp → 66¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 65¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 65¢
  • 2d ago · +4.5pp → 66¢
  • 2d ago · +4.5pp → 66¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 66¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 66¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 66¢
  • 2d ago · +4.5pp → 66¢
  • 3d ago · +4.5pp → 66¢
  • 3d ago · +4.5pp → 66¢
  • 3d ago · +4.5pp → 66¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

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Same eventWhat price will Solana hit in 2026?
Category · Crypto

Market Description

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jan 1, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · high
binance.com
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket