Will the first specialist be taken in round 6 of the 2026 Pro Football Draft?
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.34
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 95.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 3
Expiry in 4h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 4 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 4.2h
- 19:45SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.
Biggest hourly move: +3.5pp at 14:00 (to 50¢).
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the round in which the first specialist is drafted per the official 2026 draft results posted by the NFL. A specialist is defined as a player in the following positions: kicker, punter, long snapper. In the event that a player is listed as more than one position, their drafting will be counted only as the first position listed according to the NFL Draft Board. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or the drafted round of the first specialist cannot be determined by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "No specialist drafted". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (95.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.