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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 26, 2026

Will the first specialist be taken in round 1 of the 2026 Pro Football Draft?

Probability

10¢

1h

-37.5pp

24h

-38.5pp

24h Vol

$5.00

Liquidity

$127.87

Probability (last 7 days)

-38.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:02
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  1. 1

    Down 39pp over 24h

    Now 10¢; -37.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 10h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 20.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 10h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

  5. 5

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 10 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 00:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 10.0h

    HIGH
  • 14:02Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 10h with open resolution ambiguity.

    HIGH
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -39.0pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the round in which the first specialist is drafted per the official 2026 draft results posted by the NFL. A specialist is defined as a player in the following positions: kicker, punter, long snapper. In the event that a player is listed as more than one position, their drafting will be counted only as the first position listed according to the NFL Draft Board. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or the drafted round of the first specialist cannot be determined by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "No specialist drafted". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (20.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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Top Holders

3 wallets