Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.25 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?
Probability
64¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
+13.0pp
24h Vol
$28.08
Liquidity
$10.82
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 13pp over 24h
Now 64¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 848h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 65.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 848.1h
- 15:51SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 848h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 64¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 64¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 64¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 64¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 64¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 64¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 64¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 64¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 64¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 64¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.0pp
to 13¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (65.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).