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OtherExpires May 31, 2026

Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?

Probability

53¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+9.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$52.20

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 00:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:18
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 10pp over 24h

    Now 53¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 850h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 66.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 849.7h

    LOW
  • 14:18Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 850h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -21.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -11.0pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Wide spread (66.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

2 wallets