CryptoMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 29, 2026

Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 29?

Probability

47¢

1h

-0.1pp

24h

+45.1pp

24h Vol

$4.02

Liquidity

$10.75

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:51
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 45pp over 24h

    Now 47¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 94h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 92.4¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 94.1h

    LOW
  • 17:51Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 94h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+45.0pp over the last 24h, now 47¢.

Biggest hourly move: +45.0pp at 12:00 (to 48¢).

Show all 10 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 17:00 · +44.5pp → 47¢
  • 16:00 · +44.4pp → 47¢
  • 15:00 · +42.0pp → 47¢
  • 13:00 · +44.0pp → 47¢
  • 12:00 · +45.0pp → 48¢
  • 10:00 · +43.5pp → 47¢
  • 09:00 · +44.4pp → 48¢
  • 08:00 · +44.1pp → 48¢
  • 06:00 · +43.9pp → 48¢
  • 05:00 · +43.8pp → 48¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · high
binance.com
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (92.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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