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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires May 1, 2026

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 16 be less than 80?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$78.03

Liquidity

$262.48

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 10:25
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 133.6h

    LOW
  • 10:25Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 134h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for tAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (7.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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