Will there be between 105m and 110m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?

1. 1

   Down 2pp over 24h

   Now 8¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 4588h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $13.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.