SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 31, 2026

Will Victor Osimhen record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?

Probability

30¢

1h

+4.1pp

24h

+3.1pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$34.45

Probability (last 7 days)

-0.4pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 22:00Apr 25, 2026, 19:44
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 3pp over 24h

    Now 30¢; +4.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 844h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 58.6¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 844.2h

    LOW
  • 19:45Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 844h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+3.2pp over the last 24h, now 29¢.

Biggest hourly move: -5.8pp at 20:00 (to 26¢).

Show all 12 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:00 · -4.6pp → 26¢
  • 07:00 · -3.8pp → 28¢
  • 23:00 · -3.1pp → 29¢
  • 20:00 · -5.8pp → 26¢
  • 1d ago · -4.0pp → 27¢
  • 2d ago · +3.7pp → 30¢
  • 2d ago · +4.1pp → 31¢
  • 2d ago · +4.1pp → 31¢
  • 3d ago · +4.1pp → 31¢
  • 3d ago · +3.4pp → 31¢
  • 3d ago · +4.4pp → 33¢
  • 3d ago · +5.0pp → 33¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventUEFA Champions League: Most Player of the Match Awards
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve to the player who collects the most Player of the Match awards through all rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/news/029d-1ebd2e90ac06-6c331a7ee578-1000--every-uefa-champions-league-player-of-the-match/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
uefa.comOfficial sports resultextracted · high
uefa.com
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (58.6¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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