Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?
Probability
6¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$478.16
Probability (last 7 days)
-32.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1309.9h
- 10:05SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1310h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 5¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 5¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 5¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 5¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 5¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 5¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 6¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 6¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.6pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.3pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.3pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.3pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.3pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.3pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.3pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.9pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.4pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.0pp
to 9¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
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Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?
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Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?
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Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?
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Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?
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Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be less than 200k?
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Market Description
Olivia Rodrigo's new album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' is expected to release June 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 19, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily DouAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (8.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).