Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?
Probability
44¢
1h
+1.5pp
24h
+4.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$409.37
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 4pp over 24h
Now 44¢; +1.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1306h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 36.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1306.0h
- 13:59SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1306h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:59PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 44¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 44¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 44¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 43¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 43¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 44¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 37¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
6- 47¢0.0pp
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
- 25¢+5.5pp
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
- 23¢+1.0pp
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
- 6¢+0.5pp
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be less than 200k?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
- 14¢+0.5pp
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 250k and 300k?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
- 6¢+0.2pp
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?
Entertainment · Vol $0.00
Market Description
Olivia Rodrigo's new album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' is expected to release June 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 19, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily DouAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (36.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).